1B · ATL
Matt Olson — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Matt Olson (ATL) has averaged 2.16 total bases per game across 63 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 2.4 over the last 10. They've gone over 1.5 in 59% of those games. Our model projects 1.74, a step above the market line of 1.5.
Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -146 at DraftKings — model 57% to hit, -4.3% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Matt Olson went over in 37 of 63 2026 games.
Our projection 1.74 vs market line 1.5 — edge +0.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 47/63 | 75% |
| 1.5 | 37/63 | 59% |
| 2.5 | 25/63 | 40% |
| 3.5 | 19/63 | 30% |
Share of 2026 games Olson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs AZ | 8 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CLE | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs WSH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs WSH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs WSH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs DET | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SEA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BOS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TOR | 6 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs TOR | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Matt Olson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.