EdgeTake

2B · DET

Zach McKinstry — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
66
Stolen Bases
1
Per Game
0.02
Projection
0.1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Zach McKinstry (DET) sits at 0.02 stolen bases per game through 66 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0. They've gone over 0.5 in 2% of those games. Our model projects 0.1, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Randy Dobnak (RHP)

vs LHP
.093
.328 OPS · 0 HR · 53 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.214
.617 OPS · 4 HR · 213 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +825 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -870 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Zach McKinstry went over in 1 of 66 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.4.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/662%

Share of 2026 games McKinstry finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.02

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (35)
0.00
Away (31)
0.03
Home edge
-0.03

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-28vs SD0Under
2026-03-29vs SD0Under
2026-04-01vs AZ0Under
2026-04-03vs STL0Under
2026-04-04vs STL0Under
2026-04-06vs MIN0Under
2026-04-07vs MIN0Under
2026-04-08vs MIN0Under
2026-04-09vs MIN0Under
2026-04-11vs MIA0Under
2026-04-12vs MIA0Under
2026-04-14vs KC0Under
2026-04-15vs KC0Under
2026-05-05vs BOS0Under
2026-05-06vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs KC0Under
2026-05-09vs KC1Over
2026-05-10vs KC0Under
2026-05-12vs NYM0Under
2026-05-13vs NYM0Under
2026-05-14vs NYM0Under
2026-05-15vs TOR0Under
2026-05-16vs TOR0Under
2026-05-17vs TOR0Under
2026-05-18vs CLE0Under
2026-05-19vs CLE0Under
2026-05-20vs CLE0Under
2026-05-21vs CLE0Under
2026-05-22vs BAL0Under
2026-05-23vs BAL0Under
2026-05-24vs BAL0Under
2026-05-26vs LAA0Under
2026-05-27vs LAA0Under
2026-05-28vs LAA0Under
2026-05-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-30vs CWS0Under
2026-05-31vs CWS0Under
2026-06-01vs TB0Under
2026-06-02vs TB0Under
2026-06-05vs SEA0Under
2026-06-07vs SEA0Under
2026-06-09vs MIN0Under
2026-06-10vs MIN0Under
2026-06-11vs MIN0Under
2026-06-12vs CLE0Under
2026-06-13vs CLE0Under
2026-06-16vs HOU0Under
2026-06-17vs HOU0Under
2026-06-20vs CWS0Under
2026-06-21vs CWS0Under
2026-06-22vs NYY0Under
2026-06-23vs NYY0Under
2026-06-24vs NYY0Under
2026-06-25vs HOU0Under
2026-06-26vs HOU0Under
2026-06-27vs HOU0Under
2026-06-28vs HOU0Under
2026-06-29vs NYY0Under
2026-06-30vs NYY0Under
2026-07-01vs NYY0Under
2026-07-03vs TEX0Under
2026-07-04vs TEX0Under
2026-07-05vs TEX0Under
2026-07-07vs ATH0Under
2026-07-08vs ATH0Under
2026-07-09vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zach McKinstry’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.