DH · HOU
Yordan Alvarez — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) sits at 0.65 runs per game through 63 games, trending up to 1 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 51% of games this season. Our projection of 0.58 sits above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Yordan Alvarez went over in 32 of 63 2026 games.
Our projection 0.58 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.08.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 32/63 | 51% |
| 1.5 | 8/63 | 13% |
Share of 2026 games Alvarez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-05 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Yordan Alvarez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.