DH · HOU
Yordan Alvarez — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) sits at 1.14 hits per game through 63 games, with recent form ahead of that at 1.5 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 68% of those games. Our projection of 1.25 sits above the market line of 0.71.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -225 at BetMGM — model 69% to hit, -0.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Yordan Alvarez went over in 43 of 63 2026 games.
Our projection 1.25 vs market line 0.71 — edge +0.54.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 43/63 | 68% |
| 1.5 | 22/63 | 35% |
| 2.5 | 6/63 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Alvarez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SEA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs PIT | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-05 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Yordan Alvarez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.