2B · MIA
Xavier Edwards — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 93 games this season, Xavier Edwards (MIA) is averaging 0.54 runs per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.5. 45% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.41, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Germán Márquez (RHP)
Career vs Germán Márquez: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 3 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Xavier Edwards went over in 42 of 93 2026 games.
Our projection 0.41 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 42/93 | 45% |
| 1.5 | 6/93 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Edwards finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs ATL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-10 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-14 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-15 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-22 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-24 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-28 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-01 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-07-02 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-05 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-08 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-09 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Xavier Edwards’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.