SS · SD
Xander Bogaerts — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 59 games this season, Xander Bogaerts (SD) is averaging 0.83 hits per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 56% of games this season. Our projection of 0.69 comes in under the market line of 0.74.
Next: vs NYM — their staff ranks 9 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +127 at DraftKings — model 46% to hit, +5.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Xander Bogaerts went over in 33 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.69 vs market line 0.74 — edge -0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 33/59 | 56% |
| 1.5 | 14/59 | 24% |
| 2.5 | 2/59 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games Bogaerts finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SEA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Xander Bogaerts’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.