EdgeTake

RF · BOS

Wilyer Abreu — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
89
Stolen Bases
6
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.06
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Wilyer Abreu (BOS) has averaged 0.07 stolen bases per game across 89 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 7% of games this season. Our model projects 0.06, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Dylan Cease (RHP)

vs LHP
.345
.994 OPS · 5 HR · 135 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.217
.675 OPS · 10 HR · 299 PA

Career vs Dylan Cease: 2-for-5 (.400 AVG) over 8 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +900 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Wilyer Abreu went over in 6 of 89 2026 games.

Our projection 0.06 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.44.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/897%

Share of 2026 games Abreu finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.07

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (44)
0.07
Away (45)
0.07
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CIN0Under
2026-03-28vs CIN0Under
2026-03-29vs CIN0Under
2026-03-31vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-03vs SD0Under
2026-04-04vs SD0Under
2026-04-05vs SD0Under
2026-04-06vs MIL0Under
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-08vs MIL0Under
2026-04-11vs STL0Under
2026-04-11vs STL0Under
2026-04-12vs STL0Under
2026-04-13vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs MIN0Under
2026-04-17vs DET0Under
2026-04-18vs DET0Under
2026-04-19vs DET0Under
2026-04-20vs DET0Under
2026-04-21vs NYY0Under
2026-04-22vs NYY0Under
2026-04-23vs NYY0Under
2026-04-24vs BAL0Under
2026-04-25vs BAL0Under
2026-04-26vs BAL0Under
2026-04-27vs TOR0Under
2026-04-28vs TOR0Under
2026-04-29vs TOR1Over
2026-05-01vs HOU0Under
2026-05-02vs HOU0Under
2026-05-03vs HOU0Under
2026-05-04vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs DET1Over
2026-05-06vs DET0Under
2026-05-07vs TB1Over
2026-05-08vs TB0Under
2026-05-10vs TB0Under
2026-05-12vs PHI0Under
2026-05-13vs PHI0Under
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs ATL0Under
2026-05-17vs ATL0Under
2026-05-18vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs KC0Under
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-22vs MIN0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs ATL0Under
2026-05-27vs ATL1Over
2026-05-28vs ATL0Under
2026-05-29vs CLE0Under
2026-05-30vs CLE0Under
2026-05-31vs CLE0Under
2026-06-02vs BAL0Under
2026-06-03vs BAL0Under
2026-06-04vs BAL0Under
2026-06-05vs NYY0Under
2026-06-07vs NYY0Under
2026-06-08vs TB0Under
2026-06-09vs TB0Under
2026-06-10vs TB0Under
2026-06-12vs TEX0Under
2026-06-13vs TEX0Under
2026-06-14vs TEX0Under
2026-06-16vs TOR1Over
2026-06-17vs TOR0Under
2026-06-18vs TOR0Under
2026-06-20vs SEA0Under
2026-06-21vs SEA0Under
2026-06-23vs COL0Under
2026-06-24vs COL1Over
2026-06-24vs COL0Under
2026-06-25vs NYY0Under
2026-06-26vs NYY0Under
2026-06-27vs NYY0Under
2026-06-28vs NYY0Under
2026-06-29vs WSH0Under
2026-06-30vs WSH0Under
2026-07-01vs WSH0Under
2026-07-04vs LAA0Under
2026-07-05vs LAA0Under
2026-07-06vs LAA0Under
2026-07-07vs CWS0Under
2026-07-08vs CWS0Under
2026-07-09vs CWS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Wilyer Abreu’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.