RF · BOS
Wilyer Abreu — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 89 games this season, Wilyer Abreu (BOS) is averaging 0.48 runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.7. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 40% of games this season. Our model projects 0.53, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Trey Yesavage (RHP)
Career vs Trey Yesavage: 0-for-5 (.000 AVG) over 5 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Wilyer Abreu went over in 36 of 89 2026 games.
Our projection 0.53 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.03.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 36/89 | 40% |
| 1.5 | 6/89 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Abreu finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-07 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-23 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-24 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-30 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-05 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-07-06 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-07 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-09 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Wilyer Abreu’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.