RF · BOS
Wilyer Abreu — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) has averaged 1.1 hits per game across 60 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 1. They've gone over 0.5 in 67% of those games. We project 1.13, ahead of the 0.65 market line.
Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -190 at BetMGM — model 65% to hit, -0.5% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Wilyer Abreu went over in 40 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 1.13 vs market line 0.65 — edge +0.48.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 40/60 | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22/60 | 37% |
| 2.5 | 4/60 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Abreu finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs DET | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Wilyer Abreu’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.