SS · SF
Willy Adames — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 62 games this season, Willy Adames (SF) is averaging 1.74 total bases per game, trending up to 2.6 across the last 10. They've gone over 1.5 in 40% of those games. Our model projects 1.57, a step above the market line of 1.34.
Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -150 at Caesars — model 59% to hit, -2.0% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Willy Adames went over in 25 of 62 2026 games.
Our projection 1.57 vs market line 1.34 — edge +0.23.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 38/62 | 61% |
| 1.5 | 25/62 | 40% |
| 2.5 | 18/62 | 29% |
| 3.5 | 14/62 | 23% |
Share of 2026 games Adames finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 8 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CIN | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs AZ | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 7 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 6 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs MIL | 3 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Willy Adames’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.