DH · SD
Will Wagner — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 10 games this season, Will Wagner (SD) is averaging 0.8 total bases per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.8. 50% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 1.07, a step above the market line of 0.77.
Next: vs ATL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Career vs Grant Holmes: 1-for-1 (1.000 AVG) over 1 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
Under 0.5 +115 at Caesars — model 44% to hit, -4.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Will Wagner went over in 5 of 10 2026 games.
Our projection 1.07 vs market line 0.77 — edge +0.3.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/10 | 50% |
| 1.5 | 2/10 | 20% |
| 2.5 | 1/10 | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0/10 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Wagner finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-10 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-12 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-14 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-15 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-20 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-20 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Will Wagner’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.