DH · SD
Will Wagner — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Will Wagner (SD) has averaged 0.3 runs per game across 10 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 20% of games this season. We project 0.4, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs ATL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Career vs Grant Holmes: 1-for-1 (1.000 AVG) over 1 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Will Wagner went over in 2 of 10 2026 games.
Our projection 0.4 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.1.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/10 | 20% |
| 1.5 | 1/10 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Wagner finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-15 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-20 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Will Wagner’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.