DH · SD
Will Wagner — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Will Wagner (SD) has averaged 0 home runs per game across 10 games this season, tracking close to that at 0 over the last 10. The over on 2.5 has hit in 0% of games. Our model projects 0.06, below the market line of 1.3.
Next: vs ATL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Career vs Grant Holmes: 1-for-1 (1.000 AVG) over 1 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Will Wagner went over in 0 of 10 2026 games.
Our projection 0.06 vs market line 1.3 — edge -1.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0/10 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Wagner finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-15 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Will Wagner’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.