C · MIN
Victor Caratini — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Victor Caratini (MIN) has averaged 0.1 home runs per game across 68 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.1 over the last 10. 0% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our projection of 0.15 comes in under the market line of 1.19.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Jacob Lopez (LHP)
Career vs Jacob Lopez: 0-for-3 (.000 AVG) over 3 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Victor Caratini went over in 0 of 68 2026 games.
Our projection 0.15 vs market line 1.19 — edge -1.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 7/68 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Caratini finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Victor Caratini’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.