EdgeTake

RF · SF

Victor Bericoto — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
21
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.19
Projection
0.17
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Victor Bericoto (SF) has averaged 0.19 home runs per game across 21 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 19% of games. We project 0.17, short of the 1.05 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAA — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Ryan Johnson (RHP)

vs LHP
.310
.827 OPS · 1 HR · 29 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.276
.886 OPS · 3 HR · 30 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +750 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Victor Bericoto went over in 4 of 21 2026 games.

Our projection 0.17 vs market line 1.05 — edge -0.88.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/2119%

Share of 2026 games Bericoto finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.19

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.18
Away (10)
0.20
Home edge
-0.02

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-23vs CWS0Under
2026-05-24vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-06-01vs MIL0Under
2026-06-02vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs MIL1Over
2026-06-05vs CHC0Under
2026-06-06vs CHC0Under
2026-06-10vs WSH0Under
2026-06-20vs MIA0Under
2026-06-25vs ATH1Over
2026-06-25vs ATH1Over
2026-06-27vs ATL0Under
2026-06-28vs ATL0Under
2026-06-30vs AZ0Under
2026-07-02vs AZ1Over
2026-07-04vs COL0Under
2026-07-05vs COL0Under
2026-07-07vs TOR0Under
2026-07-08vs TOR0Under
2026-07-10vs COL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Victor Bericoto’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.