EdgeTake

2B · LAA

Vaughn Grissom — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
53
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.11
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Vaughn Grissom (LAA) sits at 0.08 home runs per game through 53 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0. 8% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.11, short of the 1.23 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ SF — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Logan Webb (RHP)

vs LHP
.270
.680 OPS · 0 HR · 88 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.241
.716 OPS · 5 HR · 146 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +625 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Vaughn Grissom went over in 4 of 53 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.23 — edge -1.12.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/538%

Share of 2026 games Grissom finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.08

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
0.04
Away (28)
0.11
Home edge
-0.07

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-04-11vs CIN0Under
2026-04-12vs CIN0Under
2026-04-14vs NYY0Under
2026-04-16vs NYY0Under
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-24vs KC0Under
2026-04-25vs KC0Under
2026-04-27vs CWS0Under
2026-04-28vs CWS0Under
2026-04-29vs CWS1Over
2026-05-02vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-06vs CWS0Under
2026-05-06vs CWS0Under
2026-05-08vs TOR0Under
2026-05-09vs TOR0Under
2026-05-10vs TOR0Under
2026-05-11vs CLE0Under
2026-05-12vs CLE1Over
2026-05-13vs CLE0Under
2026-05-16vs LAD0Under
2026-05-17vs LAD0Under
2026-05-20vs ATH0Under
2026-05-21vs ATH0Under
2026-05-22vs ATH0Under
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-26vs DET1Over
2026-05-27vs DET0Under
2026-05-28vs DET0Under
2026-05-29vs TB0Under
2026-05-30vs TB0Under
2026-05-31vs TB0Under
2026-06-02vs COL0Under
2026-06-03vs COL0Under
2026-06-04vs COL1Over
2026-06-17vs AZ0Under
2026-06-19vs ATH0Under
2026-06-21vs ATH0Under
2026-06-21vs ATH0Under
2026-06-24vs BAL0Under
2026-06-24vs BAL0Under
2026-06-27vs ATH0Under
2026-06-28vs ATH0Under
2026-07-01vs SEA0Under
2026-07-04vs BOS0Under
2026-07-06vs BOS0Under
2026-07-09vs TEX0Under
2026-07-10vs TEX0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Vaughn Grissom’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.