EdgeTake

2B · KC

Tyler Tolbert — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
22
Total Bases
27
Per Game
1.23
Projection
1.67
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tyler Tolbert (KC) has averaged 1.23 total bases per game across 22 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 2.3 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 45% of games. We project 1.67, ahead of the 0.71 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 6 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Casey Mize (RHP)

vs LHP
.314
.780 OPS · 1 HR · 39 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.321
.784 OPS · 1 HR · 33 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -152 at Caesars — model 48% to hit, -21.1% EV.

Over 0.5 +120 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -152 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Tyler Tolbert went over in 10 of 22 2026 games.

Our projection 1.67 vs market line 0.71 — edge +0.96.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/2245%
1.54/2218%
2.52/229%
3.52/229%

Share of 2026 games Tolbert finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.30
Season avg
1.23

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (8)
1.38
Away (14)
1.14
Home edge
+0.23

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-28vs ATL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs DET0Under
2026-04-18vs NYY1Over
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs CIN1Over
2026-06-07vs MIN1Over
2026-06-10vs TEX0Under
2026-06-16vs WSH1Over
2026-06-18vs STL0Under
2026-06-20vs STL0Under
2026-06-23vs TB2Over
2026-06-24vs TB1Over
2026-06-25vs TB0Under
2026-06-28vs CWS0Under
2026-07-01vs TB0Under
2026-07-05vs PHI2Over
2026-07-06vs PHI9Over
2026-07-07vs NYM8Over
2026-07-08vs NYM0Under
2026-07-09vs NYM1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Tolbert’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.