RF · BAL
Tyler O'Neill — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Tyler O'Neill (BAL) has averaged 0.37 runs per game across 54 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.5 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 33% of games this season. Our model projects 0.51, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs ATL — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Tyler O'Neill went over in 18 of 54 2026 games.
Our projection 0.51 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 18/54 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 2/54 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games O'Neill finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-13 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-27 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-05 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-07-09 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler O'Neill’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.