EdgeTake

RF · COL

Tyler Freeman — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
40
Hits
38
Per Game
0.95
Projection
1.36
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 40 games this season, Tyler Freeman (COL) is averaging 0.95 hits per game, with recent form ahead of that at 1.2 over the last 10. 18% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our projection of 1.36 sits above the market line of 1.02.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +180 at BetMGM — model 38% to hit, +5.2% EV.

Over 1.5 +180 BetMGMUnder 1.5 -180 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (fanatics), Tyler Freeman went over in 7 of 40 2026 games.

Our projection 1.36 vs market line 1.02 — edge +0.34.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.529/4073%
1.57/4018%
2.52/405%

Share of 2026 games Freeman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
0.95

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (14)
1.29
Away (26)
0.77
Home edge
+0.52

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-01vs TOR1Under
2026-04-05vs PHI1Under
2026-04-08vs HOU1Under
2026-04-10vs SD1Under
2026-04-11vs SD1Under
2026-04-12vs SD1Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU0Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-17vs HOU3Over
2026-04-19vs LAD1Under
2026-04-23vs SD1Under
2026-04-23vs SD1Under
2026-04-24vs NYM1Under
2026-04-25vs NYM0Under
2026-04-28vs CIN1Under
2026-04-30vs CIN2Over
2026-05-02vs ATL1Under
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-06vs NYM1Under
2026-05-07vs NYM2Over
2026-05-08vs PHI2Over
2026-05-09vs PHI0Under
2026-05-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX1Under
2026-05-20vs TEX2Over
2026-05-22vs AZ1Under
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ1Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-26vs LAD1Under
2026-05-27vs LAD1Under
2026-05-28vs LAD1Under
2026-05-30vs SF2Over
2026-05-31vs SF1Under
2026-05-31vs SF3Over
2026-06-02vs LAA1Under
2026-06-04vs LAA1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Freeman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.