EdgeTake

1B · SD

Ty France — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
62
Home Runs
10
Per Game
0.16
Projection
0.13
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ty France (SD) sits at 0.16 home runs per game through 62 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 13% of games this season. Our model projects 0.13, below the market line of 1.15.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Chris Sale (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.324
.926 OPS · 3 HR · 76 PA
vs RHP
.256
.848 OPS · 12 HR · 181 PA

Career vs Chris Sale: 1-for-6 (.167 AVG) over 7 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +475 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ty France went over in 8 of 62 2026 games.

Our projection 0.13 vs market line 1.15 — edge -1.02.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/6213%

Share of 2026 games France finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.16

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.16
Away (31)
0.16
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs DET0Under
2026-04-04vs BOS0Under
2026-04-05vs BOS0Under
2026-04-10vs COL0Under
2026-04-12vs COL1Over
2026-04-15vs SEA0Under
2026-04-16vs SEA0Under
2026-04-18vs LAA0Under
2026-04-19vs LAA0Under
2026-04-23vs COL0Under
2026-04-25vs AZ2Over
2026-04-28vs CHC0Under
2026-04-29vs CHC0Under
2026-04-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs CWS0Under
2026-05-03vs CWS0Under
2026-05-06vs SF0Under
2026-05-08vs STL0Under
2026-05-09vs STL1Over
2026-05-10vs STL0Under
2026-05-12vs MIL0Under
2026-05-13vs MIL0Under
2026-05-14vs MIL0Under
2026-05-17vs SEA0Under
2026-05-20vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs ATH0Under
2026-05-24vs ATH1Over
2026-05-25vs PHI0Under
2026-05-27vs PHI0Under
2026-05-27vs PHI0Under
2026-05-29vs WSH1Over
2026-05-30vs WSH0Under
2026-05-31vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs PHI0Under
2026-06-03vs PHI0Under
2026-06-04vs PHI0Under
2026-06-06vs NYM0Under
2026-06-07vs NYM0Under
2026-06-07vs NYM0Under
2026-06-09vs CIN0Under
2026-06-10vs CIN0Under
2026-06-10vs CIN0Under
2026-06-12vs BAL0Under
2026-06-15vs STL0Under
2026-06-16vs STL0Under
2026-06-17vs STL0Under
2026-06-20vs TEX2Over
2026-06-20vs TEX0Under
2026-06-21vs TEX0Under
2026-06-23vs ATL0Under
2026-06-24vs ATL0Under
2026-06-25vs ATL1Over
2026-06-27vs LAD1Over
2026-06-28vs LAD0Under
2026-06-30vs CHC0Under
2026-07-01vs CHC0Under
2026-07-01vs CHC0Under
2026-07-03vs LAD0Under
2026-07-04vs LAD0Under
2026-07-05vs LAD0Under
2026-07-05vs LAD0Under
2026-07-07vs AZ0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ty France’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.