EdgeTake

SS · BOS

Tsung-Che Cheng — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Runs
3
Per Game
0.43
Projection
0.43
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tsung-Che Cheng (BOS) sits at 0.43 runs per game through 7 games, with the last 10 steady at 0.43. They've gone over 0.5 in 43% of those games. We project 0.43, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Dylan Cease (RHP)

vs LHP
.200
.400 OPS · 0 HR · 5 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.265
.627 OPS · 0 HR · 39 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +230 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -300 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Tsung-Che Cheng went over in 3 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 0.43 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/743%
1.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Cheng finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.43
Season avg
0.43

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.20
Away (2)
1.00
Home edge
-0.80

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-06-26vs NYY0Under
2026-06-27vs NYY0Under
2026-06-28vs NYY0Under
2026-06-29vs WSH1Over
2026-06-30vs WSH0Under
2026-07-06vs LAA1Over
2026-07-08vs CWS1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tsung-Che Cheng’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.