EdgeTake

RF · COL

Troy Johnston — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Total Bases
86
Per Game
1.48
Projection
1.85
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Troy Johnston (COL) is averaging 1.48 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.7. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 38% of games this season. Our projection of 1.85 sits above the market line of 1.3.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +135 at BetRivers — model 43% to hit, +1.3% EV.

Over 1.5 +135 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -146 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Troy Johnston went over in 22 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 1.85 vs market line 1.3 — edge +0.55.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.543/5874%
1.522/5838%
2.513/5822%
3.53/585%

Share of 2026 games Johnston finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.70
Season avg
1.48

Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
1.70
Away (31)
1.29
Home edge
+0.41

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-28vs MIA1Under
2026-03-29vs MIA0Under
2026-03-30vs TOR5Over
2026-03-31vs TOR0Under
2026-04-01vs TOR3Over
2026-04-03vs PHI1Under
2026-04-05vs PHI1Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-07vs HOU7Over
2026-04-08vs HOU1Under
2026-04-08vs HOU3Over
2026-04-10vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU1Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-17vs HOU1Under
2026-04-18vs LAD0Under
2026-04-19vs LAD5Over
2026-04-19vs LAD3Over
2026-04-21vs LAD1Under
2026-04-22vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD1Under
2026-04-23vs SD3Over
2026-04-24vs NYM1Under
2026-04-25vs NYM1Under
2026-04-26vs NYM1Under
2026-04-28vs CIN2Over
2026-04-30vs CIN1Under
2026-05-02vs ATL3Over
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL2Over
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-06vs NYM1Under
2026-05-07vs NYM3Over
2026-05-08vs PHI2Over
2026-05-09vs PHI1Under
2026-05-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-12vs PIT2Over
2026-05-13vs PIT1Under
2026-05-14vs PIT2Over
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-17vs AZ3Over
2026-05-20vs TEX2Over
2026-05-20vs TEX1Under
2026-05-22vs AZ1Under
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ2Over
2026-05-24vs AZ1Under
2026-05-26vs LAD1Under
2026-05-27vs LAD2Over
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF1Under
2026-05-31vs SF1Under
2026-05-31vs SF3Over
2026-06-02vs LAA2Over
2026-06-03vs LAA3Over
2026-06-04vs LAA3Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Troy Johnston’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.