RF · COL
Troy Johnston — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 58 games this season, Troy Johnston (COL) is averaging 1.09 hits per game, with recent form ahead of that at 1.3 over the last 10. 29% of those games have finished over 1.5. We project 1.4, ahead of the 0.66 market line.
Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -235 at BetMGM — model 71% to hit, +0.6% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Troy Johnston went over in 17 of 58 2026 games.
Our projection 1.4 vs market line 0.66 — edge +0.74.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 43/58 | 74% |
| 1.5 | 17/58 | 29% |
| 2.5 | 3/58 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Johnston finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs HOU | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Troy Johnston’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.