EdgeTake

SS · PHI

Trea Turner — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
91
Runs
62
Per Game
0.68
Projection
0.72
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Trea Turner (PHI) sits at 0.68 runs per game through 91 games, trending up to 1 across the last 10. 52% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.72 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs NYY — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Will Warren (RHP)

vs LHP
.215
.619 OPS · 3 HR · 150 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.258
.717 OPS · 11 HR · 292 PA

Career vs Will Warren: 2-for-6 (.333 AVG) over 6 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +100 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -135 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Trea Turner went over in 47 of 91 2026 games.

Our projection 0.72 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.22.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.547/9152%
1.514/9115%

Share of 2026 games Turner finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
0.68

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (45)
0.84
Away (46)
0.52
Home edge
+0.32

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs TEX2Over
2026-03-28vs TEX0Under
2026-03-29vs TEX1Over
2026-03-30vs WSH0Under
2026-03-31vs WSH0Under
2026-04-01vs WSH2Over
2026-04-03vs COL2Over
2026-04-05vs COL1Over
2026-04-05vs COL0Under
2026-04-07vs SF1Over
2026-04-08vs SF0Under
2026-04-08vs SF0Under
2026-04-10vs AZ1Over
2026-04-11vs AZ0Under
2026-04-12vs AZ1Over
2026-04-13vs CHC1Over
2026-04-14vs CHC0Under
2026-04-15vs CHC1Over
2026-04-17vs ATL0Under
2026-04-18vs ATL0Under
2026-04-19vs ATL1Over
2026-04-20vs CHC0Under
2026-04-21vs CHC0Under
2026-04-22vs CHC0Under
2026-04-23vs CHC0Under
2026-04-24vs ATL1Over
2026-04-25vs ATL1Over
2026-04-26vs ATL0Under
2026-04-28vs SF2Over
2026-04-29vs SF2Over
2026-04-30vs SF0Under
2026-05-02vs MIA0Under
2026-05-03vs MIA1Over
2026-05-04vs MIA0Under
2026-05-05vs ATH2Over
2026-05-06vs ATH0Under
2026-05-07vs ATH0Under
2026-05-08vs COL0Under
2026-05-09vs COL1Over
2026-05-10vs COL0Under
2026-05-12vs BOS0Under
2026-05-13vs BOS0Under
2026-05-14vs BOS1Over
2026-05-15vs PIT2Over
2026-05-16vs PIT2Over
2026-05-17vs PIT0Under
2026-05-18vs CIN1Over
2026-05-19vs CIN1Over
2026-05-20vs CIN1Over
2026-05-22vs CLE0Under
2026-05-23vs CLE0Under
2026-05-24vs CLE0Under
2026-05-25vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SD1Over
2026-05-27vs SD1Over
2026-05-30vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under
2026-06-02vs SD1Over
2026-06-03vs SD0Under
2026-06-04vs SD1Over
2026-06-05vs CWS2Over
2026-06-06vs CWS0Under
2026-06-07vs CWS1Over
2026-06-08vs TOR1Over
2026-06-09vs TOR1Over
2026-06-10vs TOR0Under
2026-06-12vs MIL0Under
2026-06-13vs MIL0Under
2026-06-14vs MIL0Under
2026-06-15vs MIA0Under
2026-06-17vs MIA1Over
2026-06-18vs NYM1Over
2026-06-20vs NYM3Over
2026-06-21vs NYM2Over
2026-06-22vs WSH0Under
2026-06-23vs WSH1Over
2026-06-24vs WSH0Under
2026-06-25vs WSH1Over
2026-06-26vs NYM1Over
2026-06-27vs NYM1Over
2026-06-28vs NYM1Over
2026-06-29vs PIT2Over
2026-06-30vs PIT2Over
2026-07-01vs PIT2Over
2026-07-02vs PIT0Under
2026-07-05vs KC1Over
2026-07-05vs KC0Under
2026-07-06vs KC1Over
2026-07-07vs CIN1Over
2026-07-09vs CIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Trea Turner’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.