EdgeTake

LF · AZ

Tommy Troy — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Total Bases
14
Per Game
1.40
Projection
1.34
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Tommy Troy (AZ) sits at 1.4 total bases per game through 10 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.4. They've gone over 1.5 in 20% of those games. We project 1.34, ahead of the 0.73 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -157 at Caesars — model 60% to hit, -2.2% EV.

Over 0.5 -157 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +135 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Tommy Troy went over in 2 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 1.34 vs market line 0.73 — edge +0.61.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/1070%
1.52/1020%
2.52/1020%
3.52/1020%

Share of 2026 games Troy finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.40
Season avg
1.40

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
2.20
Away (5)
0.60
Home edge
+1.60

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-24vs COL4Over
2026-05-25vs SF1Under
2026-05-27vs SF1Under
2026-05-27vs SF1Under
2026-05-30vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD5Over
2026-06-03vs LAD1Under
2026-06-04vs LAD0Under
2026-06-05vs LAD1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tommy Troy’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.