LF · AZ
Tommy Troy — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 11 games this season, Tommy Troy (AZ) is averaging 0.09 home runs per game, trending up to 0.1 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 9% of those games. We project 0.11, short of the 1 market line.
Next: vs WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Tommy Troy went over in 1 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1 — edge -0.89.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/11 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Troy finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tommy Troy’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.