EdgeTake

LF · AZ

Tommy Troy — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Hits
11
Per Game
1.00
Projection
0.87
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tommy Troy (AZ) sits at 1 hits per game through 11 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.9. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 73% of games this season. We project 0.87, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +147 at DraftKings — model 41% to hit, +1.5% EV.

Over 0.5 -150 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +147 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Tommy Troy went over in 8 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 0.87 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.37.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/1173%
1.53/1127%
2.50/110%

Share of 2026 games Troy finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
1.00

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (6)
1.33
Away (5)
0.60
Home edge
+0.73

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-24vs COL2Over
2026-05-25vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-30vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD2Over
2026-06-03vs LAD1Over
2026-06-04vs LAD0Under
2026-06-05vs LAD1Over
2026-06-06vs WSH2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tommy Troy’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.