CF · CIN
TJ Friedl — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 56 games this season, TJ Friedl (CIN) is averaging 0.32 runs per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 27% of games this season. We project 0.48, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Dustin May (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), TJ Friedl went over in 15 of 56 2026 games.
Our projection 0.48 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/56 | 27% |
| 1.5 | 3/56 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Friedl finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-29 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-03 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-05 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-09 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See TJ Friedl’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.