RF · COL
Sterlin Thompson — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Sterlin Thompson (COL) sits at 0.5 hits per game through 14 games, tracking close to that at 0.5 over the last 10. 43% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.76, ahead of the 0.52 market line.
Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +116 at DraftKings — model 45% to hit, -2.5% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Sterlin Thompson went over in 6 of 14 2026 games.
Our projection 0.76 vs market line 0.52 — edge +0.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/14 | 43% |
| 1.5 | 1/14 | 7% |
| 2.5 | 0/14 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Thompson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Sterlin Thompson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.