EdgeTake

CF · NYY

Spencer Jones — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
28
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.14
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Spencer Jones (NYY) sits at 0.07 home runs per game through 28 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. They've gone over 1.5 in 0% of those games. We project 0.14, short of the 1.13 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits
vs LHP
.250
.774 OPS · 0 HR · 14 PA
vs RHP
.219
.650 OPS · 2 HR · 72 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +320 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Spencer Jones went over in 0 of 28 2026 games.

Our projection 0.14 vs market line 1.13 — edge -0.99.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/287%

Share of 2026 games Jones finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.07

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (13)
0.08
Away (15)
0.07
Home edge
+0.01

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-08vs MIL0Under
2026-05-09vs MIL0Under
2026-05-10vs MIL0Under
2026-05-11vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs BAL0Under
2026-05-15vs NYM0Under
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-19vs TOR0Under
2026-05-20vs TOR0Under
2026-05-21vs TOR0Under
2026-06-05vs BOS0Under
2026-06-07vs BOS0Under
2026-06-08vs CLE0Under
2026-06-09vs CLE1Under
2026-06-12vs TOR0Under
2026-06-13vs TOR0Under
2026-06-14vs TOR0Under
2026-06-16vs CWS1Under
2026-06-18vs CWS0Under
2026-06-19vs CIN0Under
2026-06-20vs CIN0Under
2026-06-21vs CIN0Under
2026-06-23vs DET0Under
2026-06-26vs BOS0Under
2026-06-28vs BOS0Under
2026-06-29vs DET0Under
2026-06-30vs DET0Under
2026-07-01vs DET0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Spencer Jones’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.