EdgeTake

1B · PIT

Spencer Horwitz — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
74
Runs
36
Per Game
0.49
Projection
0.65
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Spencer Horwitz (PIT) has averaged 0.49 runs per game across 74 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.9. 41% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.65, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CHC — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Shota Imanaga (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.233
.648 OPS · 1 HR · 52 PA
vs RHP
.291
.883 OPS · 9 HR · 243 PA

Career vs Shota Imanaga: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +100 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -135 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Spencer Horwitz went over in 30 of 74 2026 games.

Our projection 0.65 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.15.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.530/7441%
1.55/747%

Share of 2026 games Horwitz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.49

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (39)
0.46
Away (35)
0.51
Home edge
-0.05

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYM0Under
2026-03-29vs NYM0Under
2026-03-30vs CIN0Under
2026-03-31vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs CIN1Over
2026-04-03vs BAL0Under
2026-04-04vs BAL0Under
2026-04-05vs BAL1Over
2026-04-06vs SD0Under
2026-04-07vs SD1Over
2026-04-08vs SD0Under
2026-04-11vs CHC0Under
2026-04-12vs CHC1Over
2026-04-13vs WSH2Over
2026-04-14vs WSH0Under
2026-04-15vs WSH0Under
2026-04-16vs WSH1Over
2026-04-17vs TB0Under
2026-04-18vs TB0Under
2026-04-19vs TB1Over
2026-04-23vs TEX1Over
2026-04-24vs TEX0Under
2026-04-24vs MIL1Over
2026-04-25vs MIL0Under
2026-04-26vs MIL0Under
2026-04-27vs STL0Under
2026-04-28vs STL0Under
2026-04-29vs STL1Over
2026-04-30vs STL0Under
2026-05-01vs CIN0Under
2026-05-02vs CIN0Under
2026-05-03vs CIN0Under
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-09vs SF0Under
2026-05-10vs SF2Over
2026-05-10vs SF0Under
2026-05-12vs COL0Under
2026-05-13vs COL0Under
2026-05-14vs COL1Over
2026-05-15vs PHI1Over
2026-05-17vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs STL0Under
2026-05-20vs STL1Over
2026-05-21vs STL1Over
2026-05-22vs TOR0Under
2026-05-23vs TOR0Under
2026-05-24vs TOR1Over
2026-05-25vs CHC1Over
2026-05-26vs CHC1Over
2026-05-27vs CHC1Over
2026-05-28vs CHC0Under
2026-05-29vs MIN0Under
2026-05-30vs MIN2Over
2026-05-31vs MIN1Over
2026-06-03vs HOU0Under
2026-06-04vs HOU0Under
2026-06-05vs HOU0Under
2026-06-05vs ATL1Over
2026-06-06vs ATL0Under
2026-06-07vs ATL1Over
2026-06-10vs LAD1Over
2026-06-11vs LAD0Under
2026-06-12vs MIA0Under
2026-06-13vs MIA2Over
2026-06-14vs MIA0Under
2026-06-16vs ATH0Under
2026-06-17vs ATH1Over
2026-06-18vs ATH3Over
2026-06-20vs COL1Over
2026-06-21vs COL1Over
2026-06-21vs COL1Over
2026-06-23vs SEA0Under
2026-06-24vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Spencer Horwitz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.