EdgeTake

LF · SD

Samad Taylor — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
12
Runs
11
Per Game
0.92
Projection
0.62
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Samad Taylor (SD) sits at 0.92 runs per game through 12 games, tracking close to that at 0.9 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 67% of games this season. Our projection of 0.62 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Grant Holmes (RHP)

vs LHP
.417
.879 OPS · 0 HR · 13 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.343
.867 OPS · 1 HR · 41 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +170 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -205 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Samad Taylor went over in 8 of 12 2026 games.

Our projection 0.62 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.12.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/1267%
1.53/1225%

Share of 2026 games Taylor finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.92

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.75
Away (8)
1.00
Home edge
-0.25

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-06-03vs PHI0Under
2026-06-07vs NYM2Over
2026-06-09vs CIN1Over
2026-06-10vs CIN0Under
2026-06-10vs CIN0Under
2026-06-12vs BAL0Under
2026-06-13vs BAL1Over
2026-06-14vs BAL1Over
2026-06-16vs STL1Over
2026-06-17vs STL2Over
2026-06-20vs TEX1Over
2026-06-20vs TEX2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Samad Taylor’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.