EdgeTake

RF · MIL

Sal Frelick — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
56
Stolen Bases
4
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.12
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Sal Frelick (MIL) sits at 0.07 stolen bases per game through 56 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 5% of those games. Our projection of 0.12 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ COL — their staff ranks 30 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +520 FanDuelUnder 0.5 -780 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Sal Frelick went over in 3 of 56 2026 games.

Our projection 0.12 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.38.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/565%

Share of 2026 games Frelick finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.07

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (32)
0.03
Away (24)
0.13
Home edge
-0.09

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS0Under
2026-03-28vs CWS0Under
2026-03-29vs CWS0Under
2026-03-30vs TB0Under
2026-03-31vs TB0Under
2026-04-01vs TB0Under
2026-04-03vs KC0Under
2026-04-04vs KC0Under
2026-04-06vs BOS0Under
2026-04-07vs BOS0Under
2026-04-08vs BOS0Under
2026-04-10vs WSH0Under
2026-04-11vs WSH0Under
2026-04-12vs WSH0Under
2026-04-14vs TOR1Over
2026-04-15vs TOR0Under
2026-04-17vs MIA0Under
2026-04-18vs MIA0Under
2026-04-19vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs DET0Under
2026-04-22vs DET0Under
2026-04-23vs DET0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs PIT0Under
2026-04-26vs PIT0Under
2026-04-28vs AZ0Under
2026-04-29vs AZ0Under
2026-04-30vs AZ0Under
2026-05-01vs WSH0Under
2026-05-02vs WSH0Under
2026-05-03vs WSH0Under
2026-05-04vs STL0Under
2026-05-06vs STL0Under
2026-05-08vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs NYY0Under
2026-05-10vs NYY0Under
2026-05-12vs SD0Under
2026-05-13vs SD0Under
2026-05-14vs SD0Under
2026-05-15vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs MIN0Under
2026-05-17vs MIN2Over
2026-05-18vs CHC0Under
2026-05-19vs CHC0Under
2026-05-20vs CHC1Over
2026-05-22vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD0Under
2026-05-26vs STL0Under
2026-05-27vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-31vs HOU0Under
2026-06-01vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs SF0Under
2026-06-03vs SF0Under
2026-06-04vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Sal Frelick’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.