EdgeTake

LF · LAD

Ryan Ward — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Runs
2
Per Game
0.40
Projection
0.43
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 5 games this season, Ryan Ward (LAD) is averaging 0.4 runs per game, tracking close to that at 0.4 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 40% of games. We project 0.43, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAA — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +150 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -200 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Ryan Ward went over in 2 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.43 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/540%
1.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Ward finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.40

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (1)
1.00
Away (4)
0.25
Home edge
+0.75

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-19vs COL0Under
2026-04-21vs COL0Under
2026-05-31vs PHI1Over
2026-06-03vs AZ0Under
2026-06-05vs AZ1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan Ward’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.