EdgeTake

LF · LAD

Ryan Ward — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.11
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ryan Ward (LAD) sits at 0.2 home runs per game through 5 games, with the last 10 steady at 0.2. 20% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.11 comes in under the market line of 1.1.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAA — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +575 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ryan Ward went over in 1 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.1 — edge -0.99.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/520%

Share of 2026 games Ward finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.20

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (1)
1.00
Away (4)
0.00
Home edge
+1.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-04-19vs COL0Under
2026-04-21vs COL0Under
2026-05-31vs PHI1Over
2026-06-03vs AZ0Under
2026-06-05vs AZ0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan Ward’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.