EdgeTake

LF · LAD

Ryan Ward — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Hits
4
Per Game
0.80
Projection
0.88
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ryan Ward (LAD) has averaged 0.8 hits per game across 5 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.8. They've gone over 0.5 in 60% of those games. We project 0.88, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAA — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -155 at BetMGM — model 59% to hit, -3.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -155 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +132 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Ryan Ward went over in 3 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.88 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.38.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/560%
1.51/520%
2.50/50%

Share of 2026 games Ward finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.80

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (1)
1.00
Away (4)
0.75
Home edge
+0.25

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-19vs COL2Over
2026-04-21vs COL0Under
2026-05-31vs PHI1Over
2026-06-03vs AZ0Under
2026-06-05vs AZ1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan Ward’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.