EdgeTake

RF · PIT

Ryan O'Hearn — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
79
Runs
47
Per Game
0.59
Projection
0.61
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) has averaged 0.59 runs per game across 79 games this season, trending up to 0.9 across the last 10. 41% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.61 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs CHC — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Matthew Boyd (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.228
.651 OPS · 4 HR · 109 PA
vs RHP
.295
.863 OPS · 12 HR · 255 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -177 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Ryan O'Hearn went over in 32 of 79 2026 games.

Our projection 0.61 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.532/7941%
1.512/7915%

Share of 2026 games O'Hearn finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.59

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (40)
0.70
Away (39)
0.49
Home edge
+0.21

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYM2Over
2026-03-28vs NYM0Under
2026-03-29vs NYM0Under
2026-03-30vs CIN0Under
2026-03-31vs CIN1Over
2026-04-03vs BAL1Over
2026-04-04vs BAL0Under
2026-04-05vs BAL1Over
2026-04-06vs SD0Under
2026-04-07vs SD1Over
2026-04-08vs SD0Under
2026-04-10vs CHC1Over
2026-04-11vs CHC0Under
2026-04-12vs CHC0Under
2026-04-13vs WSH1Over
2026-04-14vs WSH0Under
2026-04-15vs WSH1Over
2026-04-16vs WSH0Under
2026-04-17vs TB0Under
2026-04-18vs TB2Over
2026-04-22vs TEX0Under
2026-04-23vs TEX0Under
2026-04-24vs TEX0Under
2026-04-24vs MIL2Over
2026-04-25vs MIL1Over
2026-04-26vs MIL0Under
2026-04-27vs STL0Under
2026-04-28vs STL2Over
2026-04-29vs STL0Under
2026-04-30vs STL0Under
2026-05-01vs CIN1Over
2026-05-02vs CIN3Over
2026-05-03vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs AZ0Under
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-09vs SF0Under
2026-05-10vs SF1Over
2026-05-10vs SF1Over
2026-05-12vs COL0Under
2026-05-13vs COL2Over
2026-05-14vs COL2Over
2026-05-15vs PHI1Over
2026-05-16vs PHI0Under
2026-05-31vs MIN1Over
2026-06-03vs HOU1Over
2026-06-04vs HOU0Under
2026-06-05vs HOU1Over
2026-06-05vs ATL0Under
2026-06-06vs ATL0Under
2026-06-07vs ATL0Under
2026-06-09vs LAD1Over
2026-06-10vs LAD0Under
2026-06-11vs LAD0Under
2026-06-12vs MIA0Under
2026-06-13vs MIA0Under
2026-06-14vs MIA0Under
2026-06-16vs ATH0Under
2026-06-17vs ATH1Over
2026-06-18vs ATH1Over
2026-06-20vs COL0Under
2026-06-21vs COL0Under
2026-06-21vs COL0Under
2026-06-23vs SEA0Under
2026-06-24vs SEA2Over
2026-06-25vs SEA0Under
2026-06-26vs CIN0Under
2026-06-27vs CIN0Under
2026-06-28vs CIN3Over
2026-06-29vs PHI2Over
2026-06-30vs PHI0Under
2026-07-01vs PHI1Over
2026-07-02vs PHI0Under
2026-07-03vs WSH0Under
2026-07-04vs WSH1Over
2026-07-05vs WSH2Over
2026-07-07vs ATL3Over
2026-07-08vs ATL0Under
2026-07-09vs ATL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan O'Hearn’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.