CF · MIN
Ryan Kreidler — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Ryan Kreidler (MIN) has averaged 0.11 home runs per game across 46 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.1 over the last 10. 11% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.11, below the market line of 1.09.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Mason Barnett (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ryan Kreidler went over in 5 of 46 2026 games.
Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.09 — edge -0.98.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/46 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Kreidler finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-21 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan Kreidler’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.