EdgeTake

RF · ATL

Ronald Acuña Jr. — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
53
Hits
49
Per Game
0.92
Projection
1
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) sits at 0.92 hits per game through 53 games, with recent form ahead of that at 1.1 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 26% of games. Our model projects 1, below the market line of 1.05.

Next matchup

Next: @ BAL — their staff ranks 20 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Brandon Young (RHP)

vs LHP
.179
.634 OPS · 1 HR · 81 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.289
.877 OPS · 6 HR · 155 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -209 at DraftKings — model 70% to hit, +2.8% EV.

Over 1.5 +180 BetMGMUnder 1.5 -209 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (betmgm), Ronald Acuña Jr. went over in 14 of 53 2026 games.

Our projection 1 vs market line 1.05 — edge -0.05.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.535/5366%
1.514/5326%
2.50/530%

Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
0.92

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
0.85
Away (26)
1.00
Home edge
-0.15

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs KC0Under
2026-03-28vs KC1Under
2026-03-29vs KC0Under
2026-03-30vs ATH2Over
2026-03-31vs ATH0Under
2026-04-01vs ATH0Under
2026-04-03vs AZ1Under
2026-04-04vs AZ1Under
2026-04-04vs AZ0Under
2026-04-05vs AZ2Over
2026-04-07vs LAA0Under
2026-04-08vs LAA1Under
2026-04-08vs LAA2Over
2026-04-10vs CLE2Over
2026-04-11vs CLE1Under
2026-04-12vs CLE2Over
2026-04-13vs MIA1Under
2026-04-14vs MIA0Under
2026-04-15vs MIA2Over
2026-04-17vs PHI1Under
2026-04-18vs PHI1Under
2026-04-19vs PHI1Under
2026-04-20vs WSH0Under
2026-04-21vs WSH1Under
2026-04-22vs WSH0Under
2026-04-23vs WSH1Under
2026-04-24vs PHI1Under
2026-04-25vs PHI0Under
2026-04-26vs PHI2Over
2026-04-28vs DET2Over
2026-04-29vs DET0Under
2026-04-30vs DET1Under
2026-05-02vs COL2Over
2026-05-03vs COL1Under
2026-05-19vs MIA1Under
2026-05-20vs MIA1Under
2026-05-21vs MIA2Over
2026-05-22vs WSH0Under
2026-05-23vs WSH0Under
2026-05-24vs WSH0Under
2026-05-26vs BOS1Under
2026-05-27vs BOS0Under
2026-05-28vs BOS1Under
2026-05-29vs CIN1Under
2026-05-30vs CIN2Over
2026-05-31vs CIN2Over
2026-06-02vs TOR0Under
2026-06-03vs TOR1Under
2026-06-04vs TOR1Under
2026-06-05vs PIT2Over
2026-06-06vs PIT2Over
2026-06-07vs PIT0Under
2026-06-09vs CWS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ronald Acuña Jr.’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.