1B · SF
Rafael Devers — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 63 games this season, Rafael Devers (SF) is averaging 1.6 total bases per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 1.7. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 40% of games this season. Our model projects 1.4, a step above the market line of 1.33.
Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -125 at Caesars — model 59% to hit, +5.5% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Rafael Devers went over in 25 of 63 2026 games.
Our projection 1.4 vs market line 1.33 — edge +0.07.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 41/63 | 65% |
| 1.5 | 25/63 | 40% |
| 2.5 | 14/63 | 22% |
| 3.5 | 10/63 | 16% |
Share of 2026 games Devers finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYM | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs PIT | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAD | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs LAD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CWS | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 7 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Rafael Devers’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.