EdgeTake

C · CIN

P.J. Higgins — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Runs
1
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.38
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

P.J. Higgins (CIN) has averaged 0.1 runs per game across 10 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.1 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 10% of games. Our model projects 0.38, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Andre Pallante (RHP)

vs LHP
.000
.000 OPS · 0 HR · 4 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.261
.612 OPS · 0 HR · 28 PA

Career vs Andre Pallante: 1-for-2 (.500 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +216 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -300 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), P.J. Higgins went over in 1 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 0.38 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.12.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/1010%
1.50/100%

Share of 2026 games Higgins finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.10

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.25
Away (6)
0.00
Home edge
+0.25

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-09vs MIA0Under
2026-04-12vs LAA0Under
2026-04-16vs SF0Under
2026-04-22vs TB0Under
2026-05-20vs PHI0Under
2026-05-23vs STL1Over
2026-05-27vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs ATL0Under
2026-06-06vs STL0Under
2026-06-10vs SD0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See P.J. Higgins’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.