1B · BAL
Pete Alonso — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 63 games this season, Pete Alonso (BAL) is averaging 1.7 total bases per game, trending up to 2 across the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 44% of games this season. Our projection of 1.76 sits above the market line of 1.38.
Next: @ TOR — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +126 at DraftKings — model 42% to hit, -4.5% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Pete Alonso went over in 28 of 63 2026 games.
Our projection 1.76 vs market line 1.38 — edge +0.38.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 41/63 | 65% |
| 1.5 | 28/63 | 44% |
| 2.5 | 19/63 | 30% |
| 3.5 | 14/63 | 22% |
Share of 2026 games Alonso finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs AZ | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs KC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pete Alonso’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.