EdgeTake

1B · AZ

Pavin Smith — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Stolen Bases
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.03
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Pavin Smith (AZ) sits at 0 stolen bases per game through 7 games, tracking close to that at 0 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 0% of those games. We project 0.03, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1500 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Pavin Smith went over in 0 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 0.03 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.47.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Smith finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.00
Away (2)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-28vs LAD0Under
2026-03-29vs LAD0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD0Under
2026-06-04vs LAD0Under
2026-06-05vs LAD0Under
2026-06-06vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pavin Smith’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.