1B · NYY
Paul Goldschmidt — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) sits at 0.18 home runs per game through 38 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.2 over the last 10. 18% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.15, below the market line of 1.16.
Next: vs BOS — their staff ranks 9 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Paul Goldschmidt went over in 7 of 38 2026 games.
Our projection 0.15 vs market line 1.16 — edge -1.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 7/38 | 18% |
Share of 2026 games Goldschmidt finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Paul Goldschmidt’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.