EdgeTake

1B · NYY

Paul Goldschmidt — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
65
Hits
59
Per Game
0.91
Projection
1.17
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 65 games this season, Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) is averaging 0.91 hits per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. They've gone over 1.5 in 28% of those games. Our projection of 1.17 sits above the market line of 0.78.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits
vs LHP
.336
1.082 OPS · 9 HR · 122 PA
vs RHP
.197
.593 OPS · 7 HR · 160 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +210 at BetRivers — model 32% to hit, -0.6% EV.

Over 1.5 +210 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -235 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Paul Goldschmidt went over in 18 of 65 2026 games.

Our projection 1.17 vs market line 0.78 — edge +0.39.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.538/6558%
1.518/6528%
2.53/655%

Share of 2026 games Goldschmidt finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.91

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (32)
0.69
Away (33)
1.12
Home edge
-0.43

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs SF1Under
2026-04-01vs SEA1Under
2026-04-04vs MIA0Under
2026-04-10vs TB0Under
2026-04-13vs LAA1Under
2026-04-14vs LAA0Under
2026-04-15vs LAA0Under
2026-04-19vs KC0Under
2026-04-22vs BOS0Under
2026-04-26vs HOU2Over
2026-05-01vs BAL0Under
2026-05-03vs BAL1Under
2026-05-04vs BAL1Under
2026-05-05vs TEX2Over
2026-05-06vs TEX0Under
2026-05-07vs TEX1Under
2026-05-08vs MIL0Under
2026-05-09vs MIL3Over
2026-05-11vs BAL1Under
2026-05-12vs BAL2Over
2026-05-16vs NYM2Over
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-18vs TOR2Over
2026-05-19vs TOR0Under
2026-05-20vs TOR1Under
2026-05-21vs TOR0Under
2026-05-22vs TB0Under
2026-05-24vs TB0Under
2026-05-25vs KC1Under
2026-05-26vs KC2Over
2026-05-27vs KC2Over
2026-05-30vs ATH1Under
2026-05-31vs ATH1Under
2026-05-31vs ATH1Under
2026-06-02vs CLE3Over
2026-06-03vs CLE1Under
2026-06-04vs CLE1Under
2026-06-05vs BOS0Under
2026-06-07vs BOS2Over
2026-06-08vs CLE1Under
2026-06-09vs CLE2Over
2026-06-10vs CLE2Over
2026-06-12vs TOR1Under
2026-06-13vs TOR1Under
2026-06-14vs TOR3Over
2026-06-16vs CWS2Over
2026-06-17vs CWS2Over
2026-06-18vs CWS1Under
2026-06-19vs CIN0Under
2026-06-20vs CIN1Under
2026-06-21vs CIN0Under
2026-06-22vs DET2Over
2026-06-23vs DET1Under
2026-06-24vs DET2Over
2026-06-25vs BOS2Over
2026-06-26vs BOS0Under
2026-06-27vs BOS0Under
2026-06-28vs BOS0Under
2026-06-29vs DET0Under
2026-06-30vs DET0Under
2026-07-03vs MIN0Under
2026-07-04vs MIN0Under
2026-07-06vs TB0Under
2026-07-07vs TB0Under
2026-07-08vs TB0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Paul Goldschmidt’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.