EdgeTake

SS · MIN

Orlando Arcia — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Total Bases
10
Per Game
0.91
Projection
1.11
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 11 games this season, Orlando Arcia (MIN) is averaging 0.91 total bases per game, tracking close to that at 0.9 over the last 10. 18% of those games have finished over 1.5. We project 1.11, short of the 1.22 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +130 at BetMGM — model 43% to hit, -2.2% EV.

Over 0.5 -175 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +130 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Orlando Arcia went over in 2 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 1.11 vs market line 1.22 — edge -0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/1155%
1.52/1118%
2.51/119%
3.51/119%

Share of 2026 games Arcia finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.91

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
0.33
Away (8)
1.13
Home edge
-0.79

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-19vs HOU1Under
2026-05-23vs BOS2Over
2026-05-24vs BOS4Over
2026-05-25vs CWS1Under
2026-05-26vs CWS1Under
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-28vs CWS0Under
2026-05-30vs PIT1Under
2026-05-31vs PIT0Under
2026-06-03vs CWS0Under
2026-06-04vs KC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Orlando Arcia’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.