SS · MIN
Orlando Arcia — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Orlando Arcia (MIN) has averaged 0.33 runs per game across 12 games this season, trending up to 0.4 across the last 10. 33% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.33, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Orlando Arcia went over in 4 of 12 2026 games.
Our projection 0.33 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.17.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/12 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0/12 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Arcia finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Orlando Arcia’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.