EdgeTake

RF · CIN

Noelvi Marte — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
12
Hits
4
Per Game
0.33
Projection
0.68
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Noelvi Marte (CIN) sits at 0.33 hits per game through 12 games, trending up to 0.4 across the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 33% of games. Our model projects 0.68, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +151 at DraftKings — model 44% to hit, +10.4% EV.

Over 0.5 -203 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +151 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Noelvi Marte went over in 4 of 12 2026 games.

Our projection 0.68 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.18.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/1233%
1.50/120%
2.50/120%

Share of 2026 games Marte finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.33

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (8)
0.13
Away (4)
0.75
Home edge
-0.63

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BOS0Under
2026-03-28vs BOS0Under
2026-03-29vs BOS0Under
2026-03-31vs PIT0Under
2026-04-03vs TEX0Under
2026-04-05vs TEX1Over
2026-04-07vs MIA1Over
2026-04-08vs MIA1Over
2026-04-10vs LAA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAA1Over
2026-04-12vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs KC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Noelvi Marte’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.