2B · CHC
Nico Hoerner — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nico Hoerner (CHC) has averaged 1.02 hits per game across 62 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 1. The over on 1.5 has hit in 23% of games. Our model projects 0.92, below the market line of 1.23.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -202 at DraftKings — model 70% to hit, +5.0% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Nico Hoerner went over in 14 of 62 2026 games.
Our projection 0.92 vs market line 1.23 — edge -0.31.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 45/62 | 73% |
| 1.5 | 14/62 | 23% |
| 2.5 | 4/62 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Hoerner finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PHI | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYM | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nico Hoerner’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.