2B · TEX
Nicky Lopez — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nicky Lopez (TEX) sits at 0.91 total bases per game through 11 games, tracking close to that at 1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 36% of games this season. Our projection of 0.97 sits above the market line of 0.71.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +102 at Caesars — model 47% to hit, -4.7% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nicky Lopez went over in 4 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 0.97 vs market line 0.71 — edge +0.26.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/11 | 36% |
| 1.5 | 4/11 | 36% |
| 2.5 | 1/11 | 9% |
| 3.5 | 1/11 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Lopez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nicky Lopez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.